Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 45.145788 51.882620 58.891126 66.694851 75.110216 83.882650 93.689353
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.336291 43.671212 53.956733 65.997546 79.579072 94.306812 111.368875
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 27.653283 38.164704 50.276397 64.986998 82.109995 101.175490 123.776875
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 23.261271 34.577288 48.141569 65.136300 85.429557 108.499678 136.334499
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 19.838050 31.665251 46.375230 65.325932 88.461785 115.229869 148.000686
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.251470 29.471165 45.199685 65.974220 91.830368 122.196489 159.827799
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.507381 26.718027 43.027268 65.134587 93.191390 126.633781 168.572351
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 12.908945 25.364145 42.524863 66.280627 96.898247 133.815244 180.533823
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.635300 24.325632 42.326655 67.726608 100.916099 141.339722 192.900391
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.850437 22.285316 40.571818 66.973472 102.032857 145.234718 200.837162
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.016971 19.913344 38.146992 65.148285 101.632845 147.149571 206.285238
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.556729 19.786800 38.963260 67.747237 106.995765 156.273582 220.604064
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.877961 19.212332 39.087542 69.396794 111.161265 163.981148 233.312776
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.696187 17.547705 37.426860 68.434347 111.792580 167.181925 240.430511
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.671705 16.001092 35.817148 67.435670 112.290672 170.152516 247.219778
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.987794 15.022974 35.037143 67.583450 114.303424 175.047070 256.417259
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.396787 14.132166 34.326287 67.778183 116.344305 179.960045 265.636853
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.945747 13.472960 33.952187 68.441343 119.013193 185.686075 275.897533
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.354307 12.323990 32.630124 67.582321 119.497847 188.512509 282.445359
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.077975 11.935752 32.631602 68.754819 122.845815 195.124398 293.858839
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.862994 11.671292 32.835464 70.233938 126.631451 202.329554 306.060449
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.457652 10.710347 31.659848 69.463577 127.151293 205.157907 312.607960
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.034276 9.487977 29.861617 67.596335 126.013311 205.712532 316.173499